Fulham welcome struggling Everton to Craven Cottage with a top-8 Premier League finish in their sights, needing a win to potentially leapfrog Bournemouth in the standings.
Marco Silva's men will be eager to bounce back from their narrow 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa, while Everton arrive with little to play for following a concerning 2-2 draw against already-relegated Ipswich Town.
Despite their unbeaten record against the Cottagers in recent meetings, David Moyes' injury-depleted Toffees have managed just four goals in their last six matches, suggesting they could struggle to spoil Fulham's European ambitions.
Fulham vs. Everton prediction: who will win?
For today's Fulham vs Everton matchup, our predictive model gives the Cottagers an 80% chance of defeating the Toffees.
Pre-game probabilities
Fulham
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%
Everton
Fulham: 80% win probability
- Strong home form (14 wins this season, making them the 11th best team in the league)
- Positive momentum (Won their most recent match, with 'LWLLW' recent form)
- Superior goal threat (50 goals scored compared to Everton's 36, showing greater attacking capability)
Everton: 20% win probability
- Poor recent form (No wins in last 4 matches with 'DLLWD' form)
- Struggling away from home (Only 8 wins in 35 games overall)
- Lack of goalscoring threat (Only 36 goals all season, the 3rd lowest in the Premier League)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
| Fulham | Everton | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Fulham vs. Everton preview
Fulham return to Craven Cottage looking to breathe life into their top-eight aspirations after a narrow 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa last time out, while Everton arrive with little to play for but pride in the season's closing stages.
The Cottagers have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, remaining unbeaten in their last six league encounters with Everton, though their defensive frailties—having conceded in each of their last six matches—will give the visitors some hope.
Marco Silva's side will need to overcome significant injury concerns with Rodrigo Muniz, Reiss Nelson, and Timothy Castagne all sidelined, but a win could see them leapfrog Bournemouth into eighth place.
The Toffees' recent 2-2 draw against relegated Ipswich Town highlighted defensive vulnerabilities that Fulham will be eager to exploit, with David Moyes' men having managed just four goals in their last six outings.
History favors the hosts on home soil, with Everton winless in their last two league visits to Craven Cottage, though Beto's late equalizer in October's reverse fixture (1-1) shows they can't be completely written off.
Fulham vs. Everton form
Fulham vs. Everton head to head
Fulham
100%
Everton
0%
Oct 26, 2024
Everton
1 : 1
Fulham
Jan 30, 2024
Fulham
0 : 0
Everton
Dec 19, 2023
Everton
1 : 1
Fulham
Aug 12, 2023
Everton
0 : 1
Fulham
Apr 15, 2023
Everton
1 : 3
Fulham
Oct 29, 2022
Fulham
0 : 0
Everton
