Manchester City will look to extend their commanding record against bottom-placed sides when they visit Southampton this Saturday, having won their last 12 matches against teams starting the day at the foot of the table by a staggering 44-1 aggregate score.
The Saints, who have lost 28 league games this season and possess both the worst attacking and defensive records in the Premier League, face a City side that has kept clean sheets in five of their last seven matches across all competitions.
With Kevin De Bruyne boasting an impressive record of five goals and 11 assists against Southampton throughout his career, Pep Guardiola's men appear primed to secure three vital points in their push for Champions League qualification.
Southampton vs. Manchester City prediction: who will win?
For today's Southampton vs Manchester City matchup, our predictive model gives the Citizens a 85% chance of defeating the Saints.
Pre-game probabilities
Southampton
Moneyline
Win %
15%
85%
Manchester City
Southampton: 15% win probability
- Dismal league position (20th place with just 11 points from 35 matches)
- Terrible defensive record (82 goals conceded, the worst in the league)
- Poor recent form (LLDLL in last 5 matches showing continued struggles)
Manchester City: 85% win probability
- Excellent recent form (WWWWD in last 5 matches showing strong momentum)
- Potent attacking record (67 goals scored this season, the 3rd best in the league)
- Top-tier league position (3rd place with 64 points, fighting for Champions League spots)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
| Southampton | Manchester City | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Southampton vs. Manchester City preview
Southampton's nightmare Premier League campaign staggers toward its inevitable conclusion as they welcome Manchester City to St Mary's in a David versus Goliath clash that few give the hosts any hope of winning.
The Saints, anchored to the bottom of the table with a staggering 28 defeats and the worst attacking and defensive records in the division, represent the perfect opportunity for Pep Guardiola's men to continue their recent resurgence.
City arrive unbeaten in their last 29 meetings against bottom-placed teams and have won their last 12 such encounters by a devastating aggregate score of 44-1.
Kevin De Bruyne, who has enjoyed tormenting Southampton throughout his career with five goals and eleven assists against them, will be looking to add to his impressive tally after netting the winner against Wolves last time out.
The visitors have tightened up defensively with clean sheets in five of their last seven matches and appear well-positioned to secure a comfortable victory that would strengthen their grip on a Champions League qualification spot.
Simon Rusk's Southampton, desperately trying to avoid matching Derby County's record low points total, face an uphill battle with injuries to Juan Larios and Gavin Bazunu further weakening an already fragile squad.
Southampton vs. Manchester City form
Southampton vs. Manchester City head to head
Southampton
20%
Manchester City
80%
Oct 26, 2024
Manchester City
1 : 0
Southampton
Apr 8, 2023
Southampton
1 : 4
Manchester City
Jan 11, 2023
Southampton
2 : 0
Manchester City
Oct 8, 2022
Manchester City
4 : 0
Southampton
Mar 20, 2022
Southampton
1 : 4
Manchester City
Jan 22, 2022
Southampton
1 : 1
Manchester City
