Nottingham vs Leicester Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Nottingham Forest will look to boost their top-five Champions League qualification hopes when they host already-relegated Leicester City in a Midlands derby this Sunday.

The Tricky Trees, who have kept 13 clean sheets this season (second only to Liverpool), enter the fixture in strong form at home and will fancy their chances against a Leicester side that has lost 12 of their 17 away games in the Premier League.

With Anthony Elanga in fine goalscoring form and the Foxes struggling for consistency despite last weekend's win over Southampton, Forest appear well-positioned to secure a crucial three points in their European pursuit.

Nottingham vs. Leicester prediction: who will win?

For today's Nottingham vs Leicester matchup, our predictive model gives the Forest a 82.5% chance of defeating the Foxes.

Nottingham: 82.5% win probability

Superior league position (7th vs 19th in the table)
Stronger recent form (DLWLL compared to Leicester's WLLDL)
More effective attack (54 goals scored versus Leicester's 29)

Leicester: 17.5% win probability

Poor defensive record (76 goals conceded, second-worst in the league)
Dismal away form (24 losses in 35 matches played)
Goal scoring struggles (Only 29 goals in 35 matches, second-lowest in the league)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Nottingham vs. Leicester odds

Here are the latest odds as Nottingham Forest host Leicester City in Premier League action on Sunday, May 11.

	Nottingham	Leicester	Draw
Match Result	9/25 (via William Hill)	15/2 (via Betway UK)	17/4 ( via Betway UK)

Nottingham vs. Leicester preview

In a vital clash for Nottingham Forest's European aspirations, Nuno Espírito Santo's side welcomes already-relegated Leicester City to the City Ground on Sunday, looking to cement their remarkable sixth-place position and push for Champions League qualification.

The Tricky Trees' defensive resolve has been their calling card this season with 13 clean sheets, second only to Liverpool, though recent matches have seen that discipline waver somewhat despite Monday's encouraging 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace.

Leicester, meanwhile, finally broke their months-long home scoring drought in last weekend's 2-0 victory over Southampton, but their dismal away record of 12 losses in 17 road games offers little hope of an upset against their Midlands rivals.

Anthony Elanga, with six Premier League goals to his name, could prove the difference-maker for Forest against a Leicester side that has struggled desperately in attack, netting just four times in their last six outings.

The Foxes will be severely hampered by multiple absences including Ricardo Pereira, Stephy Mavididi and Mads Hermansen, while Forest enjoy almost a full-strength squad with only Callum Hudson-Odoi sidelined.

History favors the hosts too, with Forest unbeaten in their last two league encounters against Leicester, including a convincing 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture back in October.

Nottingham vs. Leicester betting tips

Nottingham Forest To Win (5/4)

Leicester @ Nottingham

Nottingham Forest have a golden opportunity to strengthen their push for a top-five Premier League finish against an already-relegated Leicester City side.

The Foxes have been in dismal form, failing to score in nine of their last 11 league fixtures, suggesting their attack lacks both confidence and cutting edge.

Forest demonstrated their superiority earlier this season with a convincing 3-1 victory over Leicester, and playing at the City Ground gives them a significant home advantage.

Nuno Espírito Santo's men have grown increasingly sturdy at home, with four of their last five games featuring under 2.5 goals, pointing to a controlled performance.

Leicester's relegation has already been confirmed, potentially leaving the visitors lacking motivation while Forest still have European aspirations to fight for.

Nottingham Forest 2-0 Correct Score (6/1)

Leicester @ Nottingham

A 2-0 scoreline in favor of Nottingham Forest represents excellent value given Leicester's recent offensive struggles.

Forest will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage against a relegated side that has failed to find the net in most of their recent outings.

The hosts' recent defensive solidity makes this correct score prediction particularly appealing, with Nuno's tactical approach favoring controlled matches.

With four of Forest's last five games featuring under 2.5 goals, they've demonstrated an ability to manage games efficiently without conceding.

While Forest won 3-1 in their previous meeting, Leicester's form has deteriorated further since then, making a clean sheet victory the most likely outcome at the City Ground.

Anthony Elanga To Score Anytime (21/10)

Leicester @ Nottingham

Anthony Elanga has been one of Nottingham Forest's standout performers this season, contributing six Premier League goals from his wide position.

The Swedish winger's pace and direct running style could prove particularly troublesome for Leicester's demoralized defensive unit.

Having established himself as more than just a creator, Elanga has shown increased confidence in front of goal in recent months.

Leicester's vulnerable defense, which has struggled throughout their relegation campaign, offers Elanga an excellent opportunity to add to his goal tally.

Forest will likely dominate possession against the relegated Foxes, giving Elanga plenty of chances to get forward into dangerous attacking positions.

Key stats

1
Nottingham sit 7th in the table with 61 points from 35 matches, while Leicester are struggling in 19th with just 21 points.
2
Nottingham have lost just 10 matches all season compared to Leicester's 24 defeats in 35 games.
3
Leicester have the second-worst defensive record in the league, conceding 76 goals—more than double Nottingham's 42.
4
Form heavily favors Nottingham (DLWLL) over Leicester (WLLDL), with Nottingham winning 3 of their last 5 compared to Leicester's single victory.