Tottenham vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Tottenham and Crystal Palace face off in a compelling London derby with both clubs potentially distracted by upcoming cup finals just days away from this Premier League clash.

Spurs have struggled domestically this season, losing 11 of their last 18 league games while focusing on their Europa League campaign, while the Eagles have quietly established themselves with the seventh-best record in the league since Christmas.

With Palace showing impressive form against lower-table teams and Tottenham likely to prioritize their European final, Oliver Glasner's motivated side could extend their impressive away record against struggling opposition.

Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace prediction: who will win?

For today's Tottenham vs Crystal Palace matchup, our predictive model gives the Palace a 80% chance of defeating the Spurs.

Crystal Palace: 80% win probability

Superior recent form (DDDLL vs DLDLD for Tottenham, showing more consistency and fewer losses)
Better defensive record (48 goals conceded compared to Tottenham's 57)
Higher league position (12th with 46 points vs Tottenham's 16th with 38 points)

Tottenham: 20% win probability

Poor defensive reliability (57 goals conceded, 8th worst in the league)
Inconsistent recent form (DLDLD showing inability to string together victories)
Heavy reliance on attack (63 goals scored) without defensive balance

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace odds

Here are the latest odds as Tottenham host Crystal Palace in a Premier League clash on Sunday, May 11.

	Tottenham	Crystal Palace	Draw
Match Result	81/50 (via William Hill)	3/2 (via Betway UK)	13/5 ( via Betway UK)

Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace preview

Tottenham's European ambitions have seemingly derailed their Premier League campaign, with Spurs languishing in the bottom half after a dismal run of 11 defeats in 18 league games.

Crystal Palace, meanwhile, are eyeing a top-ten finish with Oliver Glasner's men boasting the seventh-best record in the Premier League since Christmas.

This London derby arrives at a curious time for both clubs – Spurs are just days away from a season-defining Europa League final while Palace have Wembley FA Cup final preparations on their minds.

The Eagles have been particularly formidable against struggling sides, winning four of their five away trips to bottom-six teams this season.

James Maddison and Dominic Solanke are expected to return for the hosts, while Palace must navigate without the injured trio of Riad, Turner, and Doucoure.

In-form Ismaila Sarr could be the difference-maker for Palace after contributing 0.9 expected goals across his last two league appearances and netting twice against Villa at Wembley.

Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace betting tips

Crystal Palace to Win (6/4)

Crystal Palace @ Tottenham

Crystal Palace enter this fixture with impressive form against bottom-six sides, winning four of their five clashes against teams struggling in the table.

Tottenham look particularly vulnerable following their European exertions, with their focus seemingly diverted toward the Europa League despite a concerning run of 11 defeats in their previous 18 league games.

The Eagles have demonstrated remarkable consistency on the road this season, especially against teams they're expected to beat.

Spurs' defensive frailties have been exposed repeatedly in recent weeks, offering Palace a prime opportunity to capitalize.

With Tottenham potentially fielding a rotated side after midweek action, the value lies with Palace who have shown they can handle these types of fixtures effectively.

Crystal Palace to Win 2-0 (16/1)

Crystal Palace @ Tottenham

The Eagles have established a pattern of defensive solidity when facing weaker opposition, winning to nil in four of their five visits to bottom-six teams this season.

Palace's away form has been particularly impressive, with the team recording four 2-0 victories on their travels during the current campaign.

Tottenham's defensive organization has deteriorated in recent months, making them susceptible to the kind of clinical counterattacking Palace excel at.

The combination of Spurs' European hangover and Palace's recent defensive stability suggests the visitors can keep a clean sheet while finding the net themselves.

This scoreline represents both historical patterns and current form, with Palace showing they have the tactical discipline to secure such results consistently against vulnerable opponents.

Ismaila Sarr To Score Anytime (11/2)

Crystal Palace @ Tottenham

Sarr has been in excellent goalscoring form recently, accumulating 0.9 expected goals across his last two league appearances.

The Palace forward demonstrated his clinical finishing with a brace at Wembley in the FA Cup semi-final, showing he can deliver in high-pressure situations.

Tottenham's defensive vulnerabilities have been well-documented this season, creating favorable conditions for attacking players of Sarr's caliber.

His pace and direct running style match up particularly well against Spurs' backline, which has struggled against similar forwards in recent fixtures.

With Palace likely to create chances on the counter-attack, Sarr represents excellent value to find the scoresheet given his current confidence in front of goal.

Key stats

1
Tottenham sits 16th in the table with 38 points from 35 matches, well below expectations for a traditionally top-six side
2
Crystal Palace occupies 12th position with 46 points, having drawn 13 matches this season—tied for second-most in the league
3
Tottenham has lost 19 matches already this season, with recent form showing DLLLW—indicating significant defensive vulnerabilities
4
Crystal Palace has been difficult to beat with 13 draws but shows concerning recent form (DDDLL), suggesting both teams are struggling to find consistency