Brighton host Liverpool in a high-stakes clash as they push for European qualification while the newly crowned champions have shown defensive vulnerability since securing the title.
With over 3.5 goals landing in Liverpool's last two outings and a combined 22 goals across Brighton's previous six matches, fans can expect an open, goal-filled encounter at the Amex.
Cody Gakpo, who has already netted three times against the Seagulls this season, looks set to trouble Brighton's defense once again as both teams bring attacking firepower to Monday night's showdown.
Brighton vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Brighton vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 70% chance of defeating the Seagulls.
Pre-game probabilities
Brighton
Moneyline
Win %
30%
70%
Liverpool
Brighton: 30% win probability
- Inconsistent results with recent form of WDWLD (only 2 wins in last 5)
- Defensive vulnerability having conceded 56 goals (joint 8th worst in the league)
- Poor win rate with only 14 wins from 36 matches (38.9% win percentage)
Liverpool: 70% win probability
- Top of the table with 83 points from 36 matches (2.31 points per game)
- Potent attack with 83 goals scored (joint-highest in the league)
- Excellent recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (DLWWW)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts.
Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
| Brighton | Liverpool | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result |
Brighton vs. Liverpool preview
Brighton welcome champions Liverpool to the Amex with European football still within their grasp, sitting level on points with Brentford in the race for a potential Conference League spot through eighth place.
The Seagulls enter this clash in solid form after a 2-0 victory at Wolves, though they've conceded in five of their last six matches while scoring in all of them.
Liverpool, having already secured the Premier League title, appear to have relaxed defensively since their triumph, taking just one point from two games and conceding a combined 9.0 Expected Goals against Chelsea and Arsenal.
Cody Gakpo could be the visitor's danger man on Monday night, having already netted three times against Brighton this season and scoring in two of his last three appearances.
Fabian Hürzeler will need to manage without several key players including Ferdi Kadıoğlu and James Milner, while Liverpool's only fitness concern is Tyler Morton's shoulder injury.
With 22 goals across Brighton's last six games and Liverpool's recent matches averaging nearly four goals each, fans should expect an entertaining, open affair between two attack-minded sides.
Brighton vs. Liverpool form
Brighton vs. Liverpool head to head
Brighton
40%
Liverpool
60%
Nov 2, 2024
Liverpool
2 : 1
Brighton
Oct 30, 2024
Brighton
2 : 3
Liverpool
Mar 31, 2024
Liverpool
2 : 1
Brighton
Oct 8, 2023
Brighton
2 : 2
Liverpool
Jan 29, 2023
Brighton
2 : 1
Liverpool
Jan 14, 2023
Brighton
3 : 0
Liverpool
