Brighton host Liverpool in a high-stakes clash as they push for European qualification while the newly crowned champions have shown defensive vulnerability since securing the title.
With over 3.5 goals landing in Liverpool's last two outings and a combined 22 goals across Brighton's previous six matches, fans can expect an open, goal-filled encounter at the Amex.
Cody Gakpo, who has already netted three times against the Seagulls this season, looks set to trouble Brighton's defense once again as both teams bring attacking firepower to Monday night's showdown.
Brighton vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Brighton vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 70% chance of defeating the Seagulls.
Liverpool: 70% win probability
- Top of the table with 83 points from 36 matches (2.31 points per game)
- Potent attack with 83 goals scored (joint-highest in the league)
- Excellent recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (DLWWW)
Brighton: 30% win probability
- Inconsistent results with recent form of WDWLD (only 2 wins in last 5)
- Defensive vulnerability having conceded 56 goals (joint 8th worst in the league)
- Poor win rate with only 14 wins from 36 matches (38.9% win percentage)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.
Brighton vs. Liverpool odds
Here are the latest odds as Brighton host Liverpool in an exciting Premier League clash on Monday, May 19.
Brighton | Liverpool | Draw | |
---|---|---|---|
Match Result | 8/5 (via William Hill) | 29/20 (via William Hill) | 13/5 ( via William Hill) |
Brighton vs. Liverpool preview
Brighton welcome champions Liverpool to the Amex with European football still within their grasp, sitting level on points with Brentford in the race for a potential Conference League spot through eighth place.
The Seagulls enter this clash in solid form after a 2-0 victory at Wolves, though they've conceded in five of their last six matches while scoring in all of them.
Liverpool, having already secured the Premier League title, appear to have relaxed defensively since their triumph, taking just one point from two games and conceding a combined 9.0 Expected Goals against Chelsea and Arsenal.
Cody Gakpo could be the visitor's danger man on Monday night, having already netted three times against Brighton this season and scoring in two of his last three appearances.
Fabian Hürzeler will need to manage without several key players including Ferdi Kadıoğlu and James Milner, while Liverpool's only fitness concern is Tyler Morton's shoulder injury.
With 22 goals across Brighton's last six games and Liverpool's recent matches averaging nearly four goals each, fans should expect an entertaining, open affair between two attack-minded sides.
Brighton vs. Liverpool betting tips
Over 3.5 Goals (11/10)
Liverpool @ Brighton


Cody Gakpo To Score Anytime (47/25)
Liverpool @ Brighton


Danny Welbeck To Score Anytime (2/1)
Liverpool @ Brighton


Brighton to Win 3-2 (22/1)
Liverpool @ Brighton


Key stats
- 1Liverpool sits atop the table with 83 points from 36 matches and a solid +46 goal difference, showing their offensive firepower and defensive stability.
- 2Brighton currently occupies 9th position with 55 points from 36 matches, having drawn 13 games this season—the joint-most in the league.
- 3Liverpool brings excellent form into this matchup with a DLWWW record in their last five matches, winning three straight.
- 4Brighton has been difficult to beat recently with a WDWLD form record, losing just once in their last five league outings.
Brighton vs. Liverpool form


Brighton vs. Liverpool head to head
Brighton
40%
Liverpool
60%
Nov 2, 2024
Liverpool
2 : 1
Brighton
Oct 30, 2024
Brighton
2 : 3
Liverpool
Mar 31, 2024
Liverpool
2 : 1
Brighton
Oct 8, 2023
Brighton
2 : 2
Liverpool
Jan 29, 2023
Brighton
2 : 1
Liverpool
Jan 14, 2023
Brighton
3 : 0
Liverpool