Brighton host Liverpool in a high-stakes clash as they push for European qualification while the newly crowned champions have shown defensive vulnerability since securing the title.

With over 3.5 goals landing in Liverpool's last two outings and a combined 22 goals across Brighton's previous six matches, fans can expect an open, goal-filled encounter at the Amex.

Cody Gakpo, who has already netted three times against the Seagulls this season, looks set to trouble Brighton's defense once again as both teams bring attacking firepower to Monday night's showdown.

Brighton vs. Liverpool prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Brighton vs Liverpool matchup, our predictive model gives the Reds a 70% chance of defeating the Seagulls.

Liverpool: 70% win probability

  • Top of the table with 83 points from 36 matches (2.31 points per game)
  • Potent attack with 83 goals scored (joint-highest in the league)
  • Excellent recent form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches (DLWWW)

Brighton: 30% win probability

  • Inconsistent results with recent form of WDWLD (only 2 wins in last 5)
  • Defensive vulnerability having conceded 56 goals (joint 8th worst in the league)
  • Poor win rate with only 14 wins from 36 matches (38.9% win percentage)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Brighton vs. Liverpool odds

Here are the latest odds as Brighton host Liverpool in an exciting Premier League clash on Monday, May 19.

BrightonLiverpoolDraw
Match Result8/5 (via William Hill)29/20 (via William Hill)13/5 ( via William Hill)

Brighton vs. Liverpool preview

Brighton welcome champions Liverpool to the Amex with European football still within their grasp, sitting level on points with Brentford in the race for a potential Conference League spot through eighth place.

The Seagulls enter this clash in solid form after a 2-0 victory at Wolves, though they've conceded in five of their last six matches while scoring in all of them.

Liverpool, having already secured the Premier League title, appear to have relaxed defensively since their triumph, taking just one point from two games and conceding a combined 9.0 Expected Goals against Chelsea and Arsenal.

Cody Gakpo could be the visitor's danger man on Monday night, having already netted three times against Brighton this season and scoring in two of his last three appearances.

Fabian Hürzeler will need to manage without several key players including Ferdi Kadıoğlu and James Milner, while Liverpool's only fitness concern is Tyler Morton's shoulder injury.

With 22 goals across Brighton's last six games and Liverpool's recent matches averaging nearly four goals each, fans should expect an entertaining, open affair between two attack-minded sides.

Brighton vs. Liverpool betting tips

Over 3.5 Goals (11/10)

Liverpool @ Brighton

LiverpoolBrighton

Cody Gakpo To Score Anytime (47/25)

Liverpool @ Brighton

LiverpoolBrighton

Danny Welbeck To Score Anytime (2/1)

Liverpool @ Brighton

LiverpoolBrighton

Brighton to Win 3-2 (22/1)

Liverpool @ Brighton

LiverpoolBrighton

Key stats

  • 1
    Liverpool sits atop the table with 83 points from 36 matches and a solid +46 goal difference, showing their offensive firepower and defensive stability.
  • 2
    Brighton currently occupies 9th position with 55 points from 36 matches, having drawn 13 games this season—the joint-most in the league.
  • 3
    Liverpool brings excellent form into this matchup with a DLWWW record in their last five matches, winning three straight.
  • 4
    Brighton has been difficult to beat recently with a WDWLD form record, losing just once in their last five league outings.

Brighton vs. Liverpool form

Brighton
Brighton
Latest matches
W
D
W
L
D
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
May 10, 2025
Wolverhampton Wanderers0:2Brighton
May 4, 2025
Newcastle United1:1Brighton
Apr 26, 2025
West Ham United2:3Brighton
Apr 19, 2025
Brentford4:2Brighton
Apr 12, 2025
Leicester City2:2Brighton
Liverpool
Liverpool
Latest matches
D
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
May 11, 2025
Arsenal2:2Liverpool
May 4, 2025
Chelsea3:1Liverpool
Apr 27, 2025
Tottenham Hotspur1:5Liverpool
Apr 20, 2025
Leicester City0:1Liverpool
Apr 13, 2025
West Ham United1:2Liverpool

Brighton vs. Liverpool head to head

Brighton

40%

Liverpool

60%

Nov 2, 2024

Liverpool

2 : 1

Brighton

Oct 30, 2024

Brighton

2 : 3

Liverpool

Mar 31, 2024

Liverpool

2 : 1

Brighton

Oct 8, 2023

Brighton

2 : 2

Liverpool

Jan 29, 2023

Brighton

2 : 1

Liverpool

Jan 14, 2023

Brighton

3 : 0

Liverpool