Brighton's push for European football meets Liverpool's post-title celebrations in what promises to be a high-scoring thriller at the Amex Stadium.
Recent fixtures between these sides have produced fireworks, with over 3.5 goals looking particularly appealing at 11/10 as the Reds have lost defensive intensity since securing the title.
We've analyzed the key trends, player matchups, and betting value for this crucial Premier League clash.
Premier League betting tips
| Game | Time | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:00 PM | Over 3.5 Match Goals (11/10)|Cody Gakpo To Score Anytime (15/8)|Danny Welbeck To Score Anytime (2/1)|Luis Diaz 1+ Shot On Target (4/5) |
Brighton vs. Liverpool
Monday, May 19
8:00 PM
Brighton and Liverpool have been involved in some high-scoring affairs recently, with the goal trends pointing strongly toward a thriller at the Amex.
Liverpool's defensive solidity has noticeably dropped since securing the title, with their last two matches producing at least four goals and a combined 9.0 expected goals.
Brighton's recent form supports this play as well, with a whopping 22 goals across their previous six matches, highlighting their attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities.
The Seagulls have kept just three clean sheets at home all season, while Liverpool's attack remains potent despite their recent inconsistency.
With Brighton pushing for European qualification, they'll need to attack from the outset, setting up what should be an open, end-to-end contest with plenty of scoring opportunities.
Gakpo has shown a particular affinity for playing against Brighton this season, having netted twice in their earlier meeting at the Amex and adding an equalizer when the teams faced off at Anfield.
The Dutch forward comes into this fixture in solid form, scoring in two of his last three appearances for Liverpool.
With 10 Premier League goals already this campaign, Gakpo has established himself as a reliable scoring threat in Klopp's system.
Brighton's defensive record suggests they'll concede opportunities, having kept just three clean sheets at home all season.
Gakpo's movement between the lines and finishing ability make him a prime candidate to find the net in what's expected to be a high-scoring affair.
Welbeck has been in impressive scoring form for Brighton, finding the net three times in his last six appearances.
The experienced forward recently hit double figures for the season with his strike against Wolves, confirming his status as the club's joint-top scorer.
Liverpool's defense has shown vulnerability since clinching the title, suggesting Welbeck will get chances in this crucial home fixture.
As Brighton push for European qualification, Welbeck's big-game experience will be vital, and he tends to rise to the occasion against top sides.
His movement and finishing ability make him a dangerous proposition for a Liverpool backline that's conceded multiple goals in recent matches.
Diaz has been one of Liverpool's most consistent attacking threats, registering at least one shot on target in six of his last eight appearances across all competitions.
The Colombian winger is coming off a strong performance against Arsenal where he scored from one of his two shots on target.
His direct running style and willingness to cut inside make him a constant threat to test the goalkeeper, especially against teams that leave space to exploit.
Brighton's attacking approach typically leaves them vulnerable to counter-attacks, which should provide Diaz with opportunities to break forward and get shots away.
Across his recent eight-match stretch, Diaz has accumulated nine shots on target, demonstrating his consistent ability to work the goalkeeper.
