Manchester City vs Bournemouth Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips

Manchester City, seeking to bounce back from their FA Cup loss to Crystal Palace, face a resilient Bournemouth side with European ambitions at the Etihad Stadium in what could be Kevin De Bruyne's final home appearance for the club.

Pep Guardiola's men have struggled for goals recently, failing to score in their last two matches, while the visiting Cherries have shown defensive discipline with under 2.5 goals landing in four of their previous five starts.

With City sitting precariously in sixth place and Bournemouth just two points shy of a potential European spot, both teams have everything to play for in this crucial Premier League clash.

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Manchester City vs Bournemouth matchup, our predictive model gives City a 67.5% chance of defeating the Cherries.

Manchester City: 67.5% win probability

Exceptional goal-scoring form (67 goals in 36 matches, averaging 1.86 goals per game)
Strong current momentum (DWWWW in recent form, unbeaten in last 5 matches)
Dominant home record (City typically performs better at Etihad Stadium, boosting their already impressive 65-point tally)

Bournemouth: 32.5% win probability

Inconsistent recent form (LWDDW shows inability to string together consecutive wins)
Defensive vulnerability (43 goals conceded, potentially problematic against City's potent attack)
Poor away performance (Bournemouth typically struggles on the road against top-6 sides, with City sitting 6th with a game in hand)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model harnesses insights from top Premier League football experts. Instead of scouring hundreds of analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to gauge the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analysing football predictions, statistics, and expert opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability—capturing the collective intelligence of the football industry's most respected Premier League analysts.

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth odds

Here are the latest odds for the Premier League fixture where Manchester City host Bournemouth on Tuesday, May 20.

	Manchester City	Bournemouth	Draw
Match Result	12/25 (via Betway UK)	5/1 (via William Hill)	15/4 ( via Betway UK)

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth preview

Manchester City welcome Bournemouth to the Etihad desperately needing to shake off their FA Cup disappointment and revive their faltering league campaign, with Pep Guardiola's side suddenly finding themselves in a precarious sixth position after consecutive blanks against Crystal Palace and Southampton.

This fixture marks Kevin De Bruyne's farewell appearance at the Etihad before his summer departure, adding emotional weight to a match City simply cannot afford to drop points in.

Bournemouth arrive with European ambitions of their own, sitting just two points shy of a potential continental qualification spot, though Andoni Iraola's men have struggled creatively of late, failing to generate even 1.0 expected goals in any of their last four outings.

The visitors' defensive solidity has been impressive on their travels—remaining unbeaten in four away league fixtures—while City's usually free-flowing attack has suddenly become uncharacteristically blunt, with under 2.5 goals landing in seven of their last nine matches.

Both sides are missing key personnel, with City deprived of defenders Nathan Aké and John Stones, while Bournemouth travel north without attacking options Luis Sinisterra, Dango Ouattara, Ryan Christie and Enes Ünal.

Manchester City vs. Bournemouth betting tips

Under 2.5 Match Goals (31/20)

Bournemouth @ Manchester City

Manchester City have shown a surprising trend toward lower-scoring affairs lately, with under 2.5 goals landing in seven of their last nine matches overall.

The Citizens' defensive solidity has been particularly impressive, conceding just once across their previous four matches while maintaining their title push.

On the opposite side, Bournemouth have struggled to generate meaningful attacks, producing less than 1.0 expected goals in each of their last four outings.

The Cherries have established their own pattern of tighter contests, with under 2.5 goals featuring in four of their last five starts.

With City potentially managing minutes ahead of bigger challenges and Bournemouth's demonstrated defensive resilience on the road, this match sets up perfectly for a lower-scoring affair than the odds suggest.

Kevin De Bruyne To Score Anytime (7/4)

Bournemouth @ Manchester City

Kevin De Bruyne has been ramping up his offensive contributions as the season reaches its climax, registering a team-high five shots against Southampton in City's most recent league fixture.

The Belgian maestro was the difference-maker in City's last home match, scoring the decisive goal in their 1-0 victory over Wolves at the Etihad.

This fixture takes on special significance as potentially one of De Bruyne's final appearances at the Etihad, giving him extra motivation to deliver a memorable performance for the home supporters.

De Bruyne's set-piece responsibilities and advanced positioning in Guardiola's system regularly put him in prime scoring positions against defensive-minded opponents.

With Bournemouth likely to focus on containing City's other attacking threats, De Bruyne should find space to exploit in dangerous areas around the penalty area.

Draw 1-1 (17/2)

Bournemouth @ Manchester City

Bournemouth have been remarkably resilient on their travels this season, suffering just one defeat in their last 13 away trips across all competitions.

The Cherries have shown they can compete against the Premier League's elite, losing only once away to top-seven opposition this season outside of their defeat at Anfield.

Manchester City come into this match after dropping points in a draw with Southampton, suggesting they might not be at their ruthless best during this congested fixture period.

Bournemouth have become draw specialists this season, sharing the points in 11 Premier League games, including seven of their 18 away fixtures.

With City potentially rotating players and Bournemouth's organized approach under Andoni Iraola, the conditions are favorable for a surprise result at the Etihad.

Key stats

1
Manchester City sit 6th in the table with 65 points from 36 matches, one point behind 5th-placed Aston Villa with a game in hand
2
City boast the league's third-best attack with 67 goals scored, behind only Liverpool (85) and Newcastle (68)
3
Bournemouth currently sit 11th with 53 points from 36 games and have a respectable +12 goal difference (55 scored, 43 conceded)
4
Both teams are in solid form with Man City unbeaten in their last 5 (DWWWW) while Bournemouth have lost just once in their last 5 (LWDDW)