Premier League Betting Tips & Expert Advice for Tuesday 20th May

Manchester City have been surprisingly conservative in recent fixtures, with under 2.5 goals landing in seven of their last nine matches including each of their last four.

City's defensive solidity has been remarkable, conceding just once across those four matches while Bournemouth have struggled to generate meaningful attacking threat, producing less than 1.0 expected goals in each of their previous four matches.

The Cherries have demonstrated their own defensive improvements with under 2.5 goals landing in four of their last five starts, suggesting this could develop into a more tactical affair than many might expect.

With City potentially rotating players ahead of more significant fixtures and Bournemouth's resilience on the road this season (just one defeat in their last 13 away trips), the conditions align for a lower-scoring encounter.

At odds of 31/20, there's excellent value in backing fewer goals than the market expects at the Etihad, especially considering City's recent pattern of controlled, efficient performances rather than the goal-fests of seasons past.

Kevin De Bruyne has been City's primary attacking threat in recent matches, registering a team-high five shots against Southampton in their last league fixture.

The Belgian maestro has stepped up at the Etihad, scoring the decisive goal in their previous home match - a 1-0 victory over Wolves.

With this being potentially De Bruyne's final appearance at the Etihad this season, there's added motivation for him to deliver a memorable performance in front of the home supporters.

His positioning and role in City's attack puts him in prime scoring positions, especially against a Bournemouth side that may focus on containing City's other attacking threats.

The 11/4 odds represent solid value for a player of De Bruyne's caliber who's showing strong shooting form and has proven his finishing ability throughout the season.

Bournemouth's Evanilson has been in impressive form recently, demonstrating consistent threat with at least one shot on target in nine of his last 11 matches.

The Brazilian striker was particularly dangerous in Bournemouth's recent match against Aston Villa, taking two shots and placing both on target despite the eventual loss.

His record against Manchester City this season is notable, having scored in both previous meetings between the clubs, suggesting he matches up well against City's defense.

Even as the away underdog, Bournemouth will create counterattacking opportunities against City's high defensive line, and Evanilson will likely be the focal point of these attacks.

With his current shooting form and confidence against this particular opponent, backing Evanilson to record at least one shot on target represents a high-probability outcome that offers good value.

Crystal Palace and Wolves are evenly matched on current form, with both sides having secured their Premier League safety and potentially lacking the intensity that comes with fighting for points.

Palace have shown a tendency to share the points at Selhurst Park this season, while Wolves have been difficult to beat on their travels in matches against mid-table opposition.

Without the pressure of relegation concerns, this fixture has all the hallmarks of a relaxed end-of-season affair where neither side is likely to take unnecessary risks.

The relatively low stakes nature of this contest lends itself to a closely fought, balanced match where a draw would be a satisfactory outcome for both managers.

Historical meetings between these clubs have often been tight affairs with little separating the teams, making the draw a value proposition at likely odds around 5/2.