Seattle Sounders aim to extend their impressive home dominance over Minnesota United when the two sides clash at Lumen Field in a critical MLS fixture on Sunday.
The Sounders enter on strong form with back-to-back victories against FC Dallas and San Diego FC, while Minnesota arrives after consecutive draws against Austin FC and Vancouver Whitecaps.
History heavily favors Seattle, who have won all ten previous meetings against the Loons at Lumen Field—a decisive factor that could prove pivotal despite Minnesota's solid offensive output of 11 goals in their last six matches.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Seattle Sounders vs Minnesota United matchup, our predictive model gives the Sounders a 77.5% chance of defeating the Loons.
Seattle Sounders: 77.5% win probability
- Home field advantage (Teams in the top half of the standings typically win 60% of home matches)
- Defensive solidity (Based on league averages, they likely concede fewer than 1.2 goals per game)
- Attacking efficiency (Top teams in MLS average over 1.8 goals per game)
Minnesota United: 22.5% win probability
- Poor road form (Away teams in MLS win only about 30% of matches)
- Defensive vulnerability (Bottom-half teams concede an average of 1.7 goals per away game)
- Scoring drought (Teams with similar win probability typically score less than 1 goal per away match)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United odds
Here are the latest odds as the Seattle Sounders host Minnesota United in MLS action on Sunday, June 01.
| Seattle Sounders | Minnesota United | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -110 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +320 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | 260 ( via bet365 US) |
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Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United preview
Seattle Sounders look to extend their dominance over Minnesota United as they host the Loons at Lumen Field in what promises to be a compelling MLS clash this weekend.
The Sounders enter the match with momentum after back-to-back victories against FC Dallas and San Diego FC, with Jesús Ferreira's 58th-minute strike proving decisive in their most recent 1-0 win.
Minnesota's struggles at Lumen Field have been well-documented, having failed to secure a victory in their last ten visits, despite showing solid form with just two losses in their last six matches.
Brian Schmetzer will need to reshuffle his defensive line with Kee-hee Kim joining the injury list alongside Paul Arriola, Jordan Morris, and Yeimar Gómez Andrade, likely opening the door for young defender Stuart Hawkins.
The Loons' attack, spearheaded by Kelvin Yeboah who netted twice in their previous meeting, will test Seattle's resilient defense that has been the foundation of their recent success.
History heavily favors the home side in this fixture, with Seattle winning 83% of recent encounters while outscoring Minnesota 12-5 across those matches.
Key stats
- 1Philadelphia Union sits atop the MLS Eastern Conference with 33 points from 16 games, demonstrating consistent form with their recent WDWWD record
- 2Cincinnati holds second place with 30 points and has shown improving form with three wins in their last five matches (DLDWW)
- 3Columbus Crew remains unbeaten in their last five games (DLDDD) but has the highest number of draws (7) among top-performing teams
- 4Nashville SC has the third-best offense in the conference with 30 goals scored in 17 games, while maintaining a five-match unbeaten streak (DDWDW)
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United form
Seattle Sounders vs. Minnesota United head to head
Seattle Sounders
100%
Minnesota United
0%
Aug 24, 2024
Minnesota United
2 : 3
Seattle Sounders
Jun 16, 2024
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Minnesota United
Aug 27, 2023
Minnesota United
1 : 1
Seattle Sounders
Apr 23, 2023
Seattle Sounders
1 : 0
Minnesota United
May 15, 2022
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
Apr 3, 2022
Minnesota United
1 : 2
Seattle Sounders
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