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MLS Top Scorer Odds: Expert Analysis

Ben Mendelowitz
Author: 
Ben Mendelowitz
Claudia Hartley
Editor: 
Claudia Hartley
9 mins
September 29th, 2023
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MLS Top Scorer Odds: Expert Analysis

As the Major League Soccer (MLS) season progresses, fans and bettors alike turn their attention to the race for the top scorer title. Predicting who will come out on top can be challenging. The odds for top goal scorer are carefully calculated by oddsmakers, taking into consideration factors such as current form, team dynamics, and historical performance.

In recent years, MLS has seen a surge in popularity, drawing increased attention to the league. As a result, there is growing interest in the odds for top scorer, as supporters and bettors seek to make informed predictions about which players are most likely to claim this prestigious title. A thorough understanding of the various factors influencing odds, combined with knowledge of current MLS top scorers, can prove invaluable when trying to make accurate predictions.

Current MLS Top Scorers

The Major League Soccer (MLS) is filled with talented players, and this season, there are several top-scoring contenders. According to the ESPN MLS statistics, as of Mon Sep 11 2023, Hany Mukhtar from Nashville SC leads the league in goal scoring, with 14 goals under his belt in 27 appearances.

Just behind Mukhtar is Luciano Acosta from FC Cincinnati, who has scored 13 goals in 26 games this season. Both players have been instrumental in the success of their respective teams and continue to maintain their impressive form.

In the race for MLS top scorer, there are also notable players from other clubs who are chasing these leading scorers. The competition is fierce, as each player's goal-scoring abilities have the potential to influence match outcomes and contribute to their team's success.

When considering the odds for top goal-scorers, sportsbooks such as OddsChecker provide useful information on which players are the favorites to claim the MLS Golden Boot. Based on current performances and team dynamics, it can be helpful for fans to keep an eye on these odds to stay informed on the top contenders.

As the MLS season progresses, the battle for the top scorer title is always intriguing, with players looking to showcase their skills and vie for the prestigious award. With Mughtar and Acosta currently leading the pack, it will be fascinating to see if they can maintain their form, or if other contenders will rise to the occasion and grab the spotlight.

Odds and Predictions

The MLS top scorer odds provide valuable insights into the potential contenders for the coveted Golden Boot award. This season, several talented players are vying for the honor, and the betting markets offer opportunities for fans and bettors alike.

Based on the MLS Odds, Major League Soccer Spreads & Lines, some exceptional candidates stand out among the rest. With high-profile athletes making waves in the league, it's crucial to keep a close eye on these developing storylines.

The odds for this year's top scorer are subject to change as the MLS season progresses, and player performances continuously shift. Bettors must stay updated with the latest MLS Betting Odds & Lines to make informed decisions on which athletes have the best chances of clinching the Golden Boot award. There are a multitude of MLS betting sites for punters to choose from!

Expert analysis and opinions on major contenders can be found at sources such as Sporting News, which provide in-depth discussions on key player abilities, strategies employed by teams, and overall league standings. This information allows fans and bettors to acquire a comprehensive understanding of the factors that influence MLS top scorer odds.

Factors Influencing Odds

When examining the odds for MLS top scorers, several factors come into play that can impact how these odds are determined. One of the primary factors is the player's current form, including their goal-scoring ability in recent matches. Top-performing players with a track record of scoring goals consistently will generally have better odds of becoming the top goal scorer.

Another key factor influencing the odds is the team's overall performance. Teams that consistently create more goal-scoring opportunities are likely to have players with better odds as the top scorers. The more chances players have to score goals, the higher their odds of becoming the top scorer in the league.

Injuries can also play a significant role in shaping the odds for top goal-scorer candidates. If a high-profile player is sidelined with an injury, their odds of becoming the top scorer are negatively affected. Similarly, a player who has recently recovered from an injury may initially have poorer odds due to concerns about their match fitness and ability to get back to their previous form.

Additionally, the player's position on the field can have a direct impact on the odds. Forwards and attacking midfielders are more likely to score goals compared to defenders and goalkeepers. As a result, players in attacking positions generally have better odds for becoming the top scorer in the MLS.

Historical Top Scorers

Major League Soccer (MLS) has seen numerous talented goal scorers throughout its history. Some notable players have left a significant mark, breaking records and earning prestigious awards like the MLS Golden Boot. Here are a few historical top scorers in MLS history:

Chris Wondolowski is the all-time leading goal scorer in MLS, with 177 goals. He became the league's top scorer on May 18, 2019, and has also won the MLS Golden Boot twice. Wondolowski has spent the majority of his career with the San Jose Earthquakes, where he showcased his goal-scoring prowess.

Landon Donovan is another prominent name in MLS history. He scored a total of 145 goals during his time in the league and is widely regarded as one of the best American soccer players. Donovan played for the LA Galaxy and the San Jose Earthquakes, demonstrating an impressive ability to find the back of the net.

These historical top scorers have set the bar high for future players looking to make their mark in MLS. Their impressive goal-scoring records and contributions to their respective teams will no doubt serve as inspiration for those aiming to etch their names in the annals of MLS soccer history.

Changes in Odds Over Time

Takeaways - 18.09:

  • Hany Mukhtar and Luciano Acosta Remain Top Contenders: Hany Mukhtar and Luciano Acosta continue to be the top contenders for the MLS top scorer title, with the lowest average prices and negative % changes. These negative % changes indicate that bookmakers view them as more likely to be top scorers, with Mukhtar having an implied probability of 26.67% and Acosta at 16.67%.

  • Lionel Messi’s top scorer odds have worsened - dropping from second favourite to now 5th favourite amongst the MLS betting apps. Messi’s implied probability is now 8%

  • Denis Bouanga's Dramatic Odds Improvement: Denis Bouanga has experienced a substantial 34.83% increase in his price, suggesting that bookmakers are becoming less confident in his chances of becoming the top scorer. However, his implied probability remains relatively moderate at 13.33%, making him a contender.

  • Other Players with Low Implied Probabilities: Many players on the list still have low implied probabilities, some even with positive price changes, indicating bookmakers consider them as long shots for the top scorer title. Players like Daniel Gazdag, Carlos Alberto Vela, and others may not be the favorites according to bookmakers.

Takeaways - 29.09:

  • Messi has fallen out of favour - with his implied probability falling from 8% to 3.85%

  • Luciano Acosta and Harry Mukhtar continue to hold as favourites amongst the MLS odds makers.

  • Luciano Acosta has had a big jump in probability - from 8.33% to 16.67%.

FAQ

Who are the favorites for the 2023 MLS top scorer?
How are top scorer odds calculated in MLS?
What factors impact the odds for MLS top scorers?
How can I compare different sportsbooks for MLS top scorer odds?
When do top scorer odds change during the MLS season?

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Author

Ben Mendelowitz
Ben is a keen sports fan - paying particularly close attention to Soccer, Basketball and Cricket. Born in London, he is a diehard supporter of Chelsea.
Claudia Hartley
Claudia is not just a writer but a dedicated researcher. Cutting through the noise of the gambling industry to get to the facts isn’t always easy, but she prides herself on being up to date with the latest news. Her years of experience in the iGaming industry have led to a fascination with the numbers behind gaming strategies, the analysis behind the betting tips, and of course, the latest game releases. A bargain hunter by nature, Claudia loves nothing more than finding and sharing the promotions and bonuses that seem almost too good to be true. As part of the team at SportingPost, her mission is to help people find their own ultimate gambling experience (and perhaps discover her own next big win on the horses).