Saudi League Top Scorer Odds: Unveiling the Goal Machine

Cristiano Ronaldo demonstrates a dominant position. His odds steadily increase from 30.77% to a commanding 76.92%. This trend unequivocally places him at the forefront of the top scorer predictions.

Karim Benzema starts as a strong contender with a 40% chance but experiences a notable decline to 14.29%. This change in odds is stark and places him significantly behind Ronaldo in the later stages.

Aleksander Mitrovic and Sadio Mane exhibit a degree of volatility in their probabilities. Mitrovic's chances show an improvement towards the end, stabilizing around 25%. Mane's odds, on the other hand, decrease over time, ending at around 7.14%.

Moussa Dembele, Conceicao Anderson Talisca, and Abderrazak Hamdallah consistently have lower probabilities. Their odds remain below 10% throughout, suggesting a less prominent role in the race for the top scorer.

Roberto Firmino and Riyad Mahrez maintain modest probabilities. Their odds, while not negligible, do not position them as primary contenders in the top scorer discussion.

The remaining players, including de Oliveira Malcom, Firas Al-Buraikan, and others, are assigned minimal chances. Their probabilities are consistently low, indicating a less significant impact on the top scorer race.

1. 1. Cristiano Ronaldo: The Ascendant Star

   • The Portuguese maestro has witnessed a remarkable surge in confidence from the bookmakers. With a staggering 39.4% spike in implied probability from 8.28, Ronaldo's ascendancy is nothing short of meteoric. His current 71.43% probability reflects a growing belief in his goal-scoring prowess and undeniable impact on the league.

   2. Aelksander Mitrovic: A Rollercoaster Ride

   • Mitrovic's journey has been a rollercoaster, marked by fluctuations in his implied probability. While he experienced a dip from 10.02 to 11.02, a subsequent rise to 23.09% indicates a certain unpredictability. The Serbian striker seems to be keeping punters on the edge of their seats with a performance that swings between assurance and uncertainty.

   3. Karim Benzema: A Tale of Resilience

   • Despite facing a dip in the middle of the observed period, Benzema has demonstrated resilience, bouncing back with a 15.38% probability. This subtle ebb and flow suggest a player who can weather storms and remains a considerable force in the race for the top scorer accolade.

   4. Sadio Mane: The Quiet Decline

   • Sadio Mane, once a beacon of high probabilities, has witnessed a gradual decline, indicating a shift in perceptions. A 13.33% drop from 8.28 to 6.67% suggests that the Liverpool forward may be facing challenges or decreased expectations in the eyes of the bookmakers.

   5. Moussa Dembele: Steady Waters

   • The implied probability for Moussa Dembele reflects a steady performance, with minor fluctuations. While the changes are relatively subtle, they hint at a player maintaining a consistent presence in the top scorer conversation, albeit without the drastic ups and downs witnessed by some counterparts.

1. Dominance of Cristiano Ronaldo:

   • Cristiano Ronaldo is the overwhelming favorite for the top scorer position, with his implied probabilities consistently high across all betting platforms (ranging from 51.38% to 69.44%). This suggests a strong consensus among bookmakers and bettors regarding his goal-scoring capabilities in the Saudi Pro League.

2. Mitrovic surpasses Benzema...?

   • Since Mitrovic entered the chat, he's overtaken Benzema to bag top spot for a month now - the Serbian currently sits on 8 goals (15 in all competitions).

3. Long Shots with Surprising Chances:

   • Some players with high odds, such as Felipe Caicedo (151) and Robin Quaison (51), surprisingly have non-negligible implied probabilities (0.99% and 0.99% respectively) on certain platforms. Although these probabilities are low, they indicate that bookmakers acknowledge a minimal chance for these underdogs to outperform expectations.

4. Stable Low Probabilities:

   • Several players, like Ruben Neves, Moussa Marega, and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic, have consistently low implied probabilities across all platforms, indicating a unanimous perception of their limited chances to become the top scorer. This stability in low probabilities reflects a consensus among bookmakers on the unlikely scenario of these players leading the goal-scoring charts.

• Unsurprisingly, the probability of Ronaldo being the top scorer come the end of the season has increased exponentially since 28.08. From 30.77% to 58.14%

• Aleksandar Mitrovic enters the fray: since the Serbian signed for Al-Hilal, he has scored six goals, with a top scorer probability of 18.18%, displacing Karim Benzema at second most likely top scorer

• Declining Firmino. Since 28.08, the probability of Roberto Firmino being top scorer has more than halved.

• Cristiano Ronaldo and Karim Benzema Lead the Betting: Cristiano Ronaldo and Karim Benzema are the frontrunners in the betting odds, with the lowest average prices and similar implied probabilities of 35.52% and 34.51%, respectively. These odds suggest that bookmakers view them as the top candidates for the league's top scorer.

• Sadio Mane Trails as Third Favorite: Sadio Mane is the third favorite according to the odds, with an implied probability of 20.00%. While he is behind Ronaldo and Benzema, he still holds a respectable chance of becoming the top scorer.

• Long Shots Exist in the Field: There are several players with higher average prices and lower implied probabilities, indicating that bookmakers consider them long shots for the top scorer title. Players like Roberto Firmino, Neymar, and Abderrazak Hamdallah have odds that are less favorable, although not impossible.