With the Oilers carrying a 1-0 Stanley Cup Final lead after their thrilling 4-3 overtime comeback in Game 1, Florida faces a critical test at Rogers Place to avoid falling into a dangerous 2-0 hole.
Both offenses flexed their scoring prowess in the opener, with Edmonton's dynamic duo of McDavid and Draisaitl matching the production of Florida's Bennett and Verhaeghe.
The Panthers must tighten defensively after surrendering 46 shots in Game 1, while Sergei Bobrovsky will look to outduel Stuart Skinner in what promises to be another high-scoring affair.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers matchup, our predictive model gives the Panthers a 52.33% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Florida Panthers: 52.33% win probability
- Superior standings position (5th in Eastern Conference vs 6th in Western Conference)
- Better defensive record (223 goals against compared to Edmonton's 236)
- Stronger recent form with multiple wins (LLWWW) compared to Edmonton's inconsistency (WLWWW)
Edmonton Oilers: 47.67% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (236 goals against, ranking in the bottom half of playoff teams)
- Lower point total (101 points vs Florida's 98 points in a tougher Eastern Conference)
- Inconsistent performance in recent games (WLWWW) indicating potential reliability issues
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Florida Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers preview
The Oilers look to build on their momentum after an impressive Game 1 comeback, turning a 3-1 deficit into a 4-3 overtime victory to take the early Stanley Cup Final lead on home ice.
Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl continued their playoff dominance, combining for four points in the opener, while Sam Bennett and Carter Verhaeghe led Florida's attack that generated three goals against Edmonton's sometimes vulnerable defense.
Both squads have shown explosive offensive firepower throughout the postseason, each lighting the lamp 69 times during their respective playoff runs.
Panthers netminder Sergei Bobrovsky kept his team competitive with 42 saves in Game 1 despite the loss, while the Oilers' Stuart Skinner did enough when it mattered, stopping 29 of 32 shots.
Florida will need more from their defensive corps, led by Seth Jones and Gustav Forsling, who struggled to contain Edmonton's relentless attack in the latter stages of the opener.
With the Panthers desperate to avoid a 2-0 series hole before heading back to Florida, expect Coach Maurice to emphasize tighter defensive structure while still allowing his offensive talents to hunt for scoring opportunities against an Oilers team that's shown defensive vulnerabilities of their own.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Florida Panthers head to head
Edmonton Oilers
67%
Florida Panthers
33%
Jun 5, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
4 : 3
Florida Panthers
Feb 28, 2025
Florida Panthers
4 : 3
Edmonton Oilers
Dec 17, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 6
Florida Panthers
Jun 22, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
5 : 1
Florida Panthers
Jun 19, 2024
Florida Panthers
3 : 5
Edmonton Oilers
Jun 16, 2024
Edmonton Oilers
8 : 1
Florida Panthers
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